Oct CPI Lifts Off ?

Weekend Update 11/14/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Perfect storm pushing latest inflation reading 3x higher than target ?  Surging inflation. #InflationFears in high gear with Oct 12-month CPI rising 6.2%-3x higher than 2% annual target. Investors concerned Fed moving too Read More

Fed’s Inaction Action ?

Weekend Update 11/7/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Tapering coming, but Fed maintains slow approach ?  Cautious Fed. As expected, Fed starting to taper asset purchases by $15B/month. However, Fed remains steadfast in transient #InflationFears expectations tempering rate hike forecast. 10-year Read More

How the Supply Chain is Stealing Christmas ?

Market Musings 11/3/2021 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! We expect supply chain improvement starting early next year, but unfortunately, #SupplyScare is likely peaking in the all-important Q4 holiday season. It was a recurring theme this #earnings season. Company after company reported Read More

Pantry Loading 2.0? ?

Weekend Update 10/24/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Time to stock up on toilet paper again? ? ?  Supply chain woes. Rising concerns #COVIDRecovery hampered by persistent supply chain issues. Consumer companies noting some consumer hoarding behavior (Pantry Loading 2.0?) as well Read More

Banking on COVID Recovery ?

Weekend Update 10/17/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Bank earnings highlight #COVIDRecovery confidence ?? ?  Yields stabilizing. #RisingYields breaks 3-week streak with 10-year treasury yield ending week down -2%. Yields peaked Mon, dropped -6% by Thur and rebounded +4% Fri. The Read More

New Adventures of Old Auto ?

Weekend Update 10/10/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! #ElectricVehicles reviving legacy automakers ?  Yields keep on rising. For 3rd straight week, #RisingYields continue tacking on another 9%. Surging energy prices, strong #COVIDRecovery data and incoming Fed action continues to drive #InflationFears and #Flight2Safety rotation. ??  Biden/Xi virtual Read More

Market-Deflating Inflation

Market Musings 10/6/2021 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Conservative Fed playing catch up to surging inflation data. We expect more volatility as incoming Fed action gets concrete timeline. High growth likely impacted; portfolios positioned for more #Flight2Safety. Markets have been incredibly Read More

Blue or Red Pill? ? Green Pill! ?

Weekend Update 10/2/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Green Oct start on potential #COVID19 pill ?? ?  September pullback. S&P 500 finished September down -5%-first red month after 7 consecutive green ones. Macro uncertainty drove market correction off all-time highs Read More

Inflation Peaking? ?

Weekend Update 9/19/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! August inflation data points to moderating surge ? ?  Peaking inflation? #InflationFears moderating as August 12-month CPI rose only +0.3% M/M (still up 5.3% Y/Y). 2nd month of deceleration, but we’re still monitoring Read More

Schrodinger’s Inflation? ?

Weekend Update 8/15/2021 Weekend Update recaps market highlights and major news from Ursa’s portfolio. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Strong economic data has #InflationFears befuddled ? ? More strong economic data. Despite rising case, #COVIDRecovery still strong as 12-month consumer price index grew 5.4% again in July. #InflationFears tug ‘o war with another high inflation Read More