Strong Retail Demand 🛍

🛍  Strong retail spending. Retail #earnings were strong highlighting #COVIDRecovery consumer demand remains intact despite #InflationFears. However, #SupplyScare issues remain heading into Q4. Consumer up +4% for week. 🦠  4th Wave? #COVID19 resurgence in Europe as rising case has Austria mandating 20-day lockdown and Germany not ruling out potential lockdown either. Even  cases troughed weeks ago and rising again. Volatile market as #COVIDRecovery keeps starting and stopping. ️💸  Read More

Fed’s Inaction Action 🦥

🦥  Cautious Fed. As expected, Fed starting to taper asset purchases by $15B/month. However, Fed remains steadfast in transient #InflationFears expectations tempering rate hike forecast. 10-year treasury yield fell -7% during the week with Financials 🏦 lower with it. ✈️  Travel time. #RevengeTravel got a shot in the arm with more positive #COVID19 pill data. Compounds strong #earnings as travel restrictions ease globally. All 👀 on Read More

How the Supply Chain is Stealing Christmas ğŸŽ„

Market Musings 11/3/2021 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! We expect supply chain improvement starting early next year, but unfortunately, #SupplyScare is likely peaking in the all-important Q4 holiday season. It was a recurring theme this #earnings season. Company after company reported Read More

Supply Scare 👻

🚢  Supply shortages. #SupplyScare has companies scrambling to build and ship products. Component shortages, labor shortages, rising fuel costs and delayed logistics all compounding the issue. Not boding well for Q4Â ğŸŽ„Â season. ⚾️  Revenue strikes out. Revenue missing Street expectations is a recurring theme this #earnings season. #COVIDRecovery demand seems to be there, but companies can’t produce enough product due to #SupplyScare issues. 💸  Yields Read More

Banking on COVID Recovery 🤑

💸  Yields stabilizing. #RisingYields breaks 3-week streak with 10-year treasury yield ending week down -2%. Yields peaked Mon, dropped -6% by Thur and rebounded +4% Fri. The culprit flattening yield curves as investors worry Fed underestimating #InflationFears and will need to accelerate rate hikes. 💻  Growth rebound. S&P 500 finished up almost +2% with high-growth Tech leading the way up Read More

China Shocks Market 🇨🇳

🇨🇳  China crackdown. #ChinaTension rising as Washington relationship referred to as ‘dead end’. China cracking down particularly on Tech making investors extremely nervous. Pending M&A deal approvals likely to face higher scrutiny as well. 📱 Weak Big Tech earnings. #BigTech and growth names largely lower following weaker #earnings last week. Growth down over -1% while overall S&P 500 only slightly lower. Read More

4-Day Streak Caps Green Week 🍀

⛈  Stormy Monday. Perfect storm Monday with #CyberSecurity hack, rising #ChinaTension and ongoing #COVID19 delta surge. S&P 500 fell -2% while 10-year treasury yields plummeted -8% to start week. 🤗 Green recovery Market fear didn’t last as S&P 500 rallied +4% to finish week up +2%. Market sentiment got a boost from strong #earnings alleviating stalling #COVIDRecovery concerns. 🌳 Strong growth rotation. Growth won Read More

Market sentiment turns bearish 🐻

😷 Domestic COVID is back. After months of steadily declines, 🇺🇸 #COVID19 rising across cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Not 4th wave yet, but some counties already reimposing mask mandates. While primarily in unvaccinated areas, investors still spooked by stalling #COVIDRecovery. 💸 Is inflation really transient? Fed chair Powell reiterated transient inflation expectations after June’s 12-month CPI rose to +5.4%. #InflationFears getting louder Read More

Parade of Beats Drive Growth Rally 🥁

🥁  Growth relief rally. Strong week for high-growth names with a relief rally on strong #earnings. Bucking April’s overvalued mentality, last week saw a parade of strong beat and raises with investors getting bullish on growth again. Growth up +2% last week. 💪 Markets up on recovery progress. S&P 500 rose +1% last week. Investors cheered #COVIDRecovery progress across stressed Read More