Playing Recession Chicken 🚘
Market rallies on Fed pivot optimism, but labor still too hot
Double-Edged Labor Market ⚔
The jobs report didn’t get the recession memo…
Risk ON 🚀
Growth leads markets higher as S&P 500 extends July gains
New Adventures of Old Auto 🚘
💸 Yields keep on rising. For 3rd straight week, #RisingYields continue tacking on another 9%. Surging energy prices, strong #COVIDRecovery data and incoming Fed action continues to drive #InflationFears and #Flight2Safety rotation. 🇨🇳 Biden/Xi virtual summit. White House reengaging Beijing holding a virtual summit later this year. Markets popped Thursday on #ChinaTension relief with S&P 500 finishing +1% for week. 🚙 Legacy auto in spotlight. General Motors Read More
Blue or Red Pill? 😎 Green Pill! 📈
📉 September pullback. S&P 500 finished September down -5%－first red month after 7 consecutive green ones. Macro uncertainty drove market correction off all-time highs as investors faced #InflationFears, #RisingYields and #ChinaTension. 💸 Yields keep rising. 10-year treasury yields rose another +5% extending last week gains. #InflationFears in focus on energy pricing surging and supply chain woes. Strong #Flight2Safety rotation with Growth down over -3% for Read More
Inflation Peaking? 😅
💸 Peaking inflation? #InflationFears moderating as August 12-month CPI rose only +0.3% M/M (still up 5.3% Y/Y). 2nd month of deceleration, but we’re still monitoring 2 main questions: (1) Does inflation recede? and (2) Could this be just a temporary reprieve due to #COVID19 delta? 🇨🇳 China concerns. #ChinaTension weighing on markets again as its #COVIDRecovery stalling from new delta outbreaks and more Read More
Travel Recovery? ✈️
💰Yields rebounding. #RisingYields rebound up +4% rising as more strong economic data may accelerate Fed rate decision. Financials jumped +4% with overall S&P 500 up +1% for week. ✈️ Travel strong? Strong travel bookings boosting #RevengeTravel. However, boost primarily driven by domestic as international, corporate and big city travel still muted. 🇨🇳 ‘Spiritual Opium’. More #ChinaTension as state run publication calls online Read More
China Shocks Market 🇨🇳
🇨🇳 China crackdown. #ChinaTension rising as Washington relationship referred to as ‘dead end’. China cracking down particularly on Tech making investors extremely nervous. Pending M&A deal approvals likely to face higher scrutiny as well. 📱 Weak Big Tech earnings. #BigTech and growth names largely lower following weaker #earnings last week. Growth down over -1% while overall S&P 500 only slightly lower. Read More
4-Day Streak Caps Green Week 🍀
⛈ Stormy Monday. Perfect storm Monday with #CyberSecurity hack, rising #ChinaTension and ongoing #COVID19 delta surge. S&P 500 fell -2% while 10-year treasury yields plummeted -8% to start week. 🤗 Green recovery Market fear didn’t last as S&P 500 rallied +4% to finish week up +2%. Market sentiment got a boost from strong #earnings alleviating stalling #COVIDRecovery concerns. 🌳 Strong growth rotation. Growth won Read More