Farewell 2022 🥃
Despite opening on #COVIDRecovery optimism, 2022 was a year of skyrocketing #InflationFears, global #UkraineCrisis shock, and #RisingYields disbelief
Good Riddance 2022 😡
Anxious, but optimistic markets entering 2023
Pivot Sentiment Reverses 🙄
Hike deceleration cheer fades with CPI and Fed on tap
December Deceleration? 🕊
Markets surge on Powell’s Dec hike deceleration signal
75 is the new 50 (for real) 💸
Markets sink with Fed forced to aggressively hike rates to combat surging inflation
Soft Landing Optimism 🛬
🏦 Easing Fed? Strong market rebound on improving inflation data and potential Fed reassessment after couple more #RisingYields hikes. Investors looking to call bottom, but we’ll see with macro data also deteriorating. Markets green with S&P 500 rebounding up almost +7% last week. 👻 Oh Snap! Snap negatively revised its outlook from just a month ago blaming rapidly deteriorating Read More
Consumer Crumbles 🛍
🛍 Retail selloff. Retailers’ profitability hit sounded the alarm with negative impact from higher markdowns, freight costs, supply disruptions and labor costs. Perfect storm of #RecessionWatch fears fueled market panic. Consumer sectors badly underperformed very bearish market week down -8%. 💋 Flirting with bear market. Another bearish market week as S&P 500 dipped again into bear territory. While a Read More
Time to Get Greedy 😈
Market Musings 5/18/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! S&P 500 creeping into bear market territory with likely recession near-term. While we’re not calling (nor expecting) a market bottom here, we do believe this is the time to start getting greedy. “Fearful Read More
Back in Correction Territory 📉
😬 Recession worries. Big earnings week with >40% of our companies reporting. Main takeaway being #COVID19 winners like e-commerce and WFH giving way to #COVIDRecovery like travel. #UkraineCrisis pressuring near-term outlooks, but not derailing long-term prospects. Overall very bearish sentiment with S&P 500 down -3% for week. 📉 Correction territory (again). Markets wrap up a very bearish April. S&P 500 fell -9% in Read More
75 is the new 50 🏦
💸 Hiked expectations. Fed commentary setting table for aggressive #RisingYields likely erring on too hawkish to combat unabating #InflationFears. New forecasts projecting 75bps hike (0.75%). Markets freefall on Friday over potentially very hawkish incoming rate environment. 😬 Recession concerns. Surprisingly light earnings week as investors continue to turn attention towards #RecessionWatch. 10-year treasury yields continue to climb up +3% to new Read More