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🚢 Supply shortages. #SupplyScare has companies scrambling to build and ship products. Component shortages, labor shortages, rising fuel costs and delayed logistics all compounding the issue. Not boding well for Q4 🎄 season. ⚾️ Revenue strikes out. Revenue missing Street expectations is a recurring theme this #earnings season. #COVIDRecovery demand seems to be there, but companies can’t produce enough product due to #SupplyScare issues. 💸 Yields Read More
🚢 Supply chain woes. Rising concerns #COVIDRecovery hampered by persistent supply chain issues. Consumer companies noting some consumer hoarding behavior (Pantry Loading 2.0?) as well as retail ad demand lower for holiday season. All-time high energy prices just compounding investor concerns. 💸 Yields resume climb. Erasing last week’s dip, #RisingYields resume with 10-year treasury yield up 4%. More #InflationFears bolstered by Powell’s ‘time Read More
💸 Yields stabilizing. #RisingYields breaks 3-week streak with 10-year treasury yield ending week down -2%. Yields peaked Mon, dropped -6% by Thur and rebounded +4% Fri. The culprit flattening yield curves as investors worry Fed underestimating #InflationFears and will need to accelerate rate hikes. 💻 Growth rebound. S&P 500 finished up almost +2% with high-growth Tech leading the way up Read More
💸 Yields keep on rising. For 3rd straight week, #RisingYields continue tacking on another 9%. Surging energy prices, strong #COVIDRecovery data and incoming Fed action continues to drive #InflationFears and #Flight2Safety rotation. 🇨🇳 Biden/Xi virtual summit. White House reengaging Beijing holding a virtual summit later this year. Markets popped Thursday on #ChinaTension relief with S&P 500 finishing +1% for week. 🚙 Legacy auto in spotlight. General Motors Read More
📉 September pullback. S&P 500 finished September down -5%－first red month after 7 consecutive green ones. Macro uncertainty drove market correction off all-time highs as investors faced #InflationFears, #RisingYields and #ChinaTension. 💸 Yields keep rising. 10-year treasury yields rose another +5% extending last week gains. #InflationFears in focus on energy pricing surging and supply chain woes. Strong #Flight2Safety rotation with Growth down over -3% for Read More
🇨🇳 China financial crisis. Chinese property giant Evergrande remains on brink of bankrupcy. TLDR timeline: Markets 📉 Mon → 📈 Tues on payment assurances → 📈 rest of week despite indications obligations not met on Thu. Dubbed Lehman 2.0, we’re monitoring closely as China looks to stabilize situation. 🏦 Fed turning hawkish. Fed signaled purchase tapering soon though vague on timing. Accelerating rate Read More
💸 Peaking inflation? #InflationFears moderating as August 12-month CPI rose only +0.3% M/M (still up 5.3% Y/Y). 2nd month of deceleration, but we’re still monitoring 2 main questions: (1) Does inflation recede? and (2) Could this be just a temporary reprieve due to #COVID19 delta? 🇨🇳 China concerns. #ChinaTension weighing on markets again as its #COVIDRecovery stalling from new delta outbreaks and more Read More
Market Musings 9/17/2021 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! TLDR: We’re OK with 🥈 or 🥉 place. We’re investing in legacy auto manufacturers not because they’re going to win, but because even being runner-ups present a significant investment opportunity. There’s no denying Tesla is one of Read More
😷 Stalling recovery? #COVID19 delta surge moderating, but worries over #COVIDRecovery momentum rising. Spending data shows slowing growth and company #Back2Work plans continue to get pushed back. 😬 Risk appetite contracting. Market pullback not surprising given huge August gains and post another #Crypto rise and fall. Overall, broad sector weakness as S&P 500 fell almost -2% last week. 📱 App Ecosystem breach. District Court ruled Read More
🙅♀️ EU restricts US travel. Week started with Europe restricting US travelers due to rising #COVID19 delta cases. Travel and other #COVIDRecovery names lower with another roadblock. Over weekend, Sweden went further and imposed US travel ban. 🌳 Growth rotation. #COVIDRecovery weakness saw rotation into Growth names. In particular, Tech 💻 and Communications 📡 were strong. Overall Growth outperformed Value by almost +2%. Read More