Market-Deflating Inflation

Market Musings 10/6/2021 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Conservative Fed playing catch up to surging inflation data. We expect more volatility as incoming Fed action gets concrete timeline. High growth likely impacted; portfolios positioned for more #Flight2Safety. Markets have been incredibly Read More

Blue or Red Pill? 😎 Green Pill! 📈

📉  September pullback. S&P 500 finished September down -5%-first red month after 7 consecutive green ones. Macro uncertainty drove market correction off all-time highs as investors faced #InflationFears, #RisingYields and #ChinaTension. 💸  Yields keep rising. 10-year treasury yields rose another +5% extending last week gains. #InflationFears in focus on energy pricing surging and supply chain woes. Strong #Flight2Safety rotation with Growth down over -3% for Read More

Schrodinger’s Inflation? 😸

💪 More strong economic data. Despite rising case, #COVIDRecovery still strong as 12-month consumer price index grew 5.4% again in July. #InflationFears tug ‘o war with another high inflation month, but, at the same time, not accelerating. ️💸  Yields keep rising. 10-year treasury yields up another +4% last week, but as much as +9% Thursday before Friday’s -5%. pullback. #RisingYields resurgence Read More

Travel Recovery? ✈️

💰Yields rebounding. #RisingYields rebound up +4% rising as more strong economic data may accelerate Fed rate decision. Financials jumped +4% with overall S&P 500 up +1% for week. ✈️ Travel strong? Strong travel bookings boosting #RevengeTravel. However, boost primarily driven by domestic as international, corporate and big city travel still muted. 🇨🇳 ‘Spiritual Opium’. More #ChinaTension as state run publication calls online Read More

Value Surging in May 💐

‍💨👟 Value rotation. With bubble fears climbing (aided by rising meme stock and joke #Crypto interest), heavy #Flight2Safety to kick off May. Value stocks up +3% MTD while Growth down slightly so far. Overall S&P 500 finished up +1%. 😰 Rising #InflationFears. Treasury Sec Yellen briefly tanked markets Tuesday saying interest rates needed to rise ‘a little bit to make sure Read More

Correcting the Correction

While markets surged today, high growth stocks had been under siege for the past several weeks. Before today, tech heavy NASDAQ fell over -10% from its peak on Feb 12 while the more diverse S&P 500 fell less than -3%. Today, NASDAQ’s Herculean rebound recouped part of the loss, but still remains down -7% from Read More