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Market Musings 1/26/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! Fed commentary alluded to increasingly aggressive stance, but didn’t provide much concrete details. We continue to believe Fed will need to get more aggressive through 2022 to combat #InflationFears. #RisingYields fear has fueled Read More
😳 Fearful markets. Widespread market fears of new macro environment with aggressive #RisingYields. While last two year’s mantra was “buy the dip”, 2022 looking more like “sell the rally”. S&P 500 fell almost -6% last week with every day ending down despite fleeting intraday gains. High-growth and tech heavy NASDAQ already in correction down -14% since mid-Nov Read More
🥱 Dec inflation hits 7%. Dec 12-month CPI hit 7% up from Nov’s 6.8% reading. Viewing #InflationFears potentially moderating, investors initially cheered results Wed though optimism lost stream by end of day. 🧐 Stagnant market. Markets struggling for direction as investors remain focused on #RisingYields. Some analysts now predicting 4 rate hikes this year while Fed trying to soothe markets Read More
💨👟 Fleeing growth. 2022 started right where 2021 ended with fear around lofty Growth valuations in a #RisingYields environment. While overall S&P 500 down -2% for week, heavy #Flight2Safety Value rotation all week with Growth underperforming Value by over 5%. 📝 Hawkish Fed minutes. Compounding already negative Growth sentiment, Fed Dec meeting notes released indicate quicker balance sheet reduction under consideration Read More
Market Musings 1/6/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! #RisingYields likely to be major 2022 trend. We believe Fed gets more hawkish than current plans as indicated by recently released minutes. Updated January 7, 2021 Massive #Flight2Safety value rotation first week into Read More
🧪 No US lockdown. Biden announced 🇺🇸 #COVID19 Omicron plan focusing on vaccination and testing vs. lockdowns. Fearing a shutdown similar to many in Europe, announcement kicked off week-long rally on Omicron optimism. 🥳 Lots of Omicron cheer. Looking past surging cases, investors rally into the holidays on #COVID19 Omicron optimism. It seems like Omicron surges to a peak quickly with milder Read More
🦅 Fed shifting to offense. Fed turns hawkish to combat surging #InflationFears. Fed accelerating tapering plan doubling monthly reduction to $30B and targeting 3 rate hikes in 2022 (up from just one expected last month). We think even the accelerated expectations may still be conservative… 😷 Omicron surging globally. While still milder symptoms generally, high transmissibility has #COVID19 Omicron surging Read More
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😅 Omicron fears abating. Positive developments on the #COVID19 Omicron front has the market running. Cases so far seem mild with high transmissibility and Pfizer believes its 3-shot regimen (2 initial + 1 booster) protects against Omicron. 🙄 CPI up only 6.8%… Nov 12-month CPI grew 6.8%－a 40-year high. However, markets actually cheered the news with CPI coming in below #InflationFears estimate of Read More