2025 | Ursa

Risk Management Cut

September 17, 2025 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Inflation, #LaborMarkets, #RateCuts

The Fed resumed #RateCuts, but investors are still wondering what’s ahead.

Dot Plot Watch 🧐

September 15, 2025September 15, 2025 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Inflation, #LaborMarkets, #RateCuts, #tariffs

September #RateCuts looks locked-in, but investors want five more－will the Fed deliver? That’s the big question heading into Wednesday’s Fed meeting.

Inflation Checks the Box ✅

September 14, 2025September 14, 2025 Ryan JueResearch, Weekend Update#ConsumerConfidence, #Inflation, #RateCuts, #Stagflation, #tariffs

Markets cheer #Inflation, but Consumers aren’t buying it…

Inflation 👍, What’s Next?

September 11, 2025September 11, 2025 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Inflation, #LaborMarkets, #RateCuts, #tariffs

#Inflation came in high, but tolerable… That’s good news for markets, but with #LaborMarkets jobless claims spiking is the #Tariffs soft landing really safe?

PPI In-Line, CPI Next

September 10, 2025September 10, 2025 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Ursa#Inflation, #Stagflation, #tariffs

Producer inflation came in mostly in line for August with Core PPI up 0.3% keeping pricing pressures elevated but stable. All eyes now turn to Thursday’s CPI report, which will set the tone for markets and the Fed’s upcoming rate decision.