Category: Market Musings

Banking Rollercoaster 🎢

April 6, 2023April 6, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#BankingCrisis, #FallingYields, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

Despite initial market concern, investor optimism surged in March with the #BankingCrisis stabilizing, end of #RisingYields hope and expectations for a #Recession2023 soft landing.

Rising Rates Reality 💸

March 7, 2023March 7, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

Fed throws cold water on the new year’s rally as inflation declines slow and rate expectations rise

New Year, New Market 🥂

January 17, 2023January 17, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#ConsumerNoConfidence, #CorporateBeltTightening, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields, Dollar Cost Averaging

We see 2023 playing out in 3 phases: cooling labor market, mid-year recession and recovery begins.

Farewell 2022 🥃

January 11, 2023January 17, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#BigTech, #COVID19, #COVIDRecovery, #Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #RisingYields, #RiskOn, #UkraineCrisis

Despite opening on #COVIDRecovery optimism, 2022 was a year of skyrocketing #InflationFears, global #UkraineCrisis shock, and #RisingYields disbelief

Recession Reset 🔄

September 27, 2022September 27, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#InflationFears, #RecessionWatch, #RisingYields, #UkraineCrisis, Dollar Cost Averaging

Markets finally coming to terms with aggressive Fed focused on combating inflation. Soft landing recession likely out. What’s next?

Sobering Markets ☕️

September 1, 2022September 2, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #RecessionResilient, #RecessionWatch, #RisingYields

Runaway peaking inflation rally hits a wall. Still early innings for #RisingYields as markets reevaluate #RecessionWatch impact.

July’s High High Hopes 🎵

August 3, 2022August 3, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#ConsumerNoConfidence, #Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #RecessionResilient, #RisingYields, Bear Market

Strong July rebound as markets rally on peaking inflation sentiment. The next bull market or just overly optimistic?

Halftime Report 🏈

July 6, 2022July 6, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#ConsumerNoConfidence, #Dividends, #Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #RecessionResilient, #RecessionWatch, #RevengeTravel, #RisingYields, #UkraineCrisis, Bear Market

Halftime 2022－we’re down -21% YTD with a recession looming. Where do we go from here?

Welcome to Bear Territory 🐻

June 16, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#ConsumerNoConfidence, #COVIDRecovery, #Flight2Safety, #Growth, #InflationFears, #RecessionResilient, #RecessionWatch, #RisingYields, #UkraineCrisis, Bear Market, Bull Market, Dollar Cost Averaging, Fed, Recession

With Fed opting for speedy #InflationFears easing, the optimistic #RecessionWatch economic soft landing is looking likely out of reach.

Mr. May’s Wild Ride 🚘

June 3, 2022June 3, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#HelpWanted, #InflationFears, #RecessionWatch, #RisingYields, #SupplyScare

S&P 500’s wild ride in May just to end essentially flat－so much for “sell in May and go away”.