Market Musings 11/12/2025
Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store!
Markets hit pause as investors eye #RateCuts and data delays…
Markets hit pause after Monday’s rebound and now investors are asking: What’s Next? After the shutdown relief rally on Monday, markets have been more cautious as investors digested what a temporary reopening really means and what comes after…
The government is on its way to reopening after a record-long government shutdown. However, the deal likely only funds the government through January. Basically, it’s more of a holiday reprieve than a full resolution.
Still, it gives markets some breathing room heading into the all-important Q4 #ConsumerConfidence spending season.
What about February? We wouldn’t be surprised for another shutdown, but, even if it happens again, investors may also shrug it off again. After all, markets barely flinched through the first month of this shutdown and will likely assume another stalemate ends the same way.
So, we’re back to our focus on the economic data backlog…
While the government’s reopening should restart data collection soon, officials have warned that some older reports may be lost entirely rather than just delayed. Even so, a September to November comparison should still provide a solid read on trends heading into year-end.
However, certain data may not be available in time for the Fed meeting which could make the December #RateCuts decision a little murkier.
Buckle up, more volatility is likely on the way. We’ll be watching how quickly the data starts flowing again and how the government shutdown may have impacted things.
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The statements, opinions and analyses presented here are provided as general information. This article is the opinion of the author. Anything within this article should NOT be considered an investment recommendation or advice. See Ursa’s full disclosures here.
Original Photo by Pixabay.