Inflation Still Inflating 🎈
Continuing high inflation dampens hopes for Fed rate hike adjustment in fall
Financial Hurricane 🌪
Financial “hurricane” warning as investors debate recession forecast
Mr. May’s Wild Ride 🚘
S&P 500’s wild ride in May just to end essentially flat－so much for “sell in May and go away”.
Soft Landing Optimism 🛬
🏦 Easing Fed? Strong market rebound on improving inflation data and potential Fed reassessment after couple more #RisingYields hikes. Investors looking to call bottom, but we’ll see with macro data also deteriorating. Markets green with S&P 500 rebounding up almost +7% last week. 👻 Oh Snap! Snap negatively revised its outlook from just a month ago blaming rapidly deteriorating Read More
Consumer Crumbles 🛍
🛍 Retail selloff. Retailers’ profitability hit sounded the alarm with negative impact from higher markdowns, freight costs, supply disruptions and labor costs. Perfect storm of #RecessionWatch fears fueled market panic. Consumer sectors badly underperformed very bearish market week down -8%. 💋 Flirting with bear market. Another bearish market week as S&P 500 dipped again into bear territory. While a Read More
Time to Get Greedy 😈
Market Musings 5/18/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! S&P 500 creeping into bear market territory with likely recession near-term. While we’re not calling (nor expecting) a market bottom here, we do believe this is the time to start getting greedy. “Fearful Read More
Schrodinger’s Economy 😼
💸 Stabilizing, but still high. New CPI data with April inflation rising +8.3% Y/Y. First monthly decline in 8 months, but still extremely elevated. Readout likely not changing Fed’s aggressive #RisingYields plan yet. Markets continue sharp slide with S&P 500 down -5% through Thursday. 🛬 Hard or soft landing? Bearish sentiment continues to dominate as investors debate whether Fed #RisingYields plan Read More
Keep Calm & Stay Invested 👑
Market Musings 5/9/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! We focus on fundamentally strong investments with long-term time horizons to weather market down cycles Coming into 2022, market sentiment was already increasingly bearish with aggressive #RisingYields expected to combat surging #InflationFears. #UkraineCrisis Read More
Back in Correction Territory 📉
😬 Recession worries. Big earnings week with >40% of our companies reporting. Main takeaway being #COVID19 winners like e-commerce and WFH giving way to #COVIDRecovery like travel. #UkraineCrisis pressuring near-term outlooks, but not derailing long-term prospects. Overall very bearish sentiment with S&P 500 down -3% for week. 📉 Correction territory (again). Markets wrap up a very bearish April. S&P 500 fell -9% in Read More