Soft Landing Optimism 🛬

🏦  Easing Fed? Strong market rebound on improving inflation data and potential Fed reassessment after couple more #RisingYields hikes. Investors looking to call bottom, but we’ll see with macro data also deteriorating. Markets green with S&P 500 rebounding up almost +7% last week. 👻  Oh Snap! Snap negatively revised its outlook from just a month ago blaming rapidly deteriorating Read More

Consumer Crumbles 🛍

🛍  Retail selloff. Retailers’ profitability hit sounded the alarm with negative impact from higher markdowns, freight costs, supply disruptions and labor costs. Perfect storm of #RecessionWatch fears fueled market panic. Consumer sectors badly underperformed very bearish market week down -8%. 💋  Flirting with bear market. Another bearish market week as S&P 500 dipped again into bear territory. While a Read More

Time to Get Greedy 😈

Market Musings 5/18/2022 Quick thoughts on the markets and major portfolio news. Not on Ursa yet? Download Ursa from the App Store! S&P 500 creeping into bear market territory with likely recession near-term. While we’re not calling (nor expecting) a market bottom here, we do believe this is the time to start getting greedy. “Fearful Read More

Schrodinger’s Economy 😼

💸  Stabilizing, but still high. New CPI data with April inflation rising +8.3% Y/Y. First monthly decline in 8 months, but still extremely elevated. Readout likely not changing Fed’s aggressive #RisingYields plan yet. Markets continue sharp slide with S&P 500 down -5% through Thursday. 🛬  Hard or soft landing? Bearish sentiment continues to dominate as investors debate whether Fed #RisingYields plan Read More