Category: Market Musings

August In-Review 🎢

September 6, 2023September 6, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#AI, #CreditCrunch, #Growth, #LaborMarkets, #RisingYields

Investor optimism for the “Goldilocks” soft landing cooled in August before heating up again to end the month.

July In-Review ⚖️

August 10, 2023August 10, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#AI, #BankingCrisis, #BigTech, #Flight2Safety, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

The S&P 500 rose +3% in July as investors remained giddy the market was heading for the ideal “Goldilocks” soft landing.

Halftime Report 2023 🏈

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#AI, #BankingCrisis, #FallingYields, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RecessionResilient, #RisingYields, #RiskOn

A bullish 1H rebounds from 2022’s losses. Heading into the 2H, we see markets moving on rate hikes, recession expectations and AI.

June In-Review 🐂

July 4, 2023July 4, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#AI, #BankingCrisis, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

The S&P 500 enters a bull market with investors optimistic moderating economic data will lead to Goldilocks economic outcome.

May In-Review 🤖

June 9, 2023June 9, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#AI, #FallingYields, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

Tentative markets gave way to bullish AI fervor to end May on a high…

Banking Rollercoaster 🎢

April 6, 2023April 6, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#BankingCrisis, #FallingYields, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

Despite initial market concern, investor optimism surged in March with the #BankingCrisis stabilizing, end of #RisingYields hope and expectations for a #Recession2023 soft landing.

Rising Rates Reality 💸

March 7, 2023March 7, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields

Fed throws cold water on the new year’s rally as inflation declines slow and rate expectations rise

New Year, New Market 🥂

January 17, 2023January 17, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#ConsumerNoConfidence, #CorporateBeltTightening, #InflationFears, #LaborMarkets, #Recession2023, #RisingYields, Dollar Cost Averaging

We see 2023 playing out in 3 phases: cooling labor market, mid-year recession and recovery begins.

Farewell 2022 🥃

January 11, 2023January 17, 2023 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#BigTech, #COVID19, #COVIDRecovery, #Flight2Safety, #InflationFears, #RisingYields, #RiskOn, #UkraineCrisis

Despite opening on #COVIDRecovery optimism, 2022 was a year of skyrocketing #InflationFears, global #UkraineCrisis shock, and #RisingYields disbelief

Recession Reset 🔄

September 27, 2022September 27, 2022 Ryan JueMarket Musings, Research#InflationFears, #RecessionWatch, #RisingYields, #UkraineCrisis, Dollar Cost Averaging

Markets finally coming to terms with aggressive Fed focused on combating inflation. Soft landing recession likely out. What’s next?